Q: I’m seeing a lot of anxiety and nervousness about the economy all around me. Do you have any thoughts on how to respond to this?
To my readers…This started out as a normal question and answer. The more I wrestled with my thoughts, the more I became convinced that I had a responsibility to take my response to deeper levels, and so I have. We are going to vary from our normal format and my response will be separated into a second and third post. So, be forewarned. This contains some thoughts that you are not used to hearing from me. I’d love to hear your responses…
Part I:
Answer: I sure do. I’ve been through a number of economic downturns, have weathered years of rampaging inflation, and have struggled through a couple of personal financial cataclysms. I’m coming at this subject from the point of view of a battle-scarred warrior who has been here before and learned some lessons along the way.
If you will permit me a little leeway, I’d like to ramble for a bit, and then talk about how, as a salesperson, you should respond to this. In Part II, we’ll discuss what you as a business owner or manager can be doing. Finally, in Part III, I suggest some things that you, as a person, should be doing.
First, a Bit of Perspective of Economic Hardships
We certainly are in for an economic contraction. I’ve lived through at least a half dozen of them. You should know that this is not at all unprecedented. You may recall that in the Old Testament Bible, the Law of Moses prescribed a Year of Jubilee every 50 years, in which all the property in the Jewish state reverted to its original owner, and all debts were canceled. God knew human
nature and knew that without some built-in corrective mechanism; people would act in a way that brought on regular and cyclical economic chaos. The 50-year cycle prevented that.
We, however, don’t live by the Old Testament. So, in the history of this country, there have been major financial corrections at about that interval. The Great Depression was in the 1930s. There was another major economic upheaval in the late 1800s, about 60 years preceding that. There is a regular cycle in economic activities that occurs when a couple of generations of people grow up not
having learned the lessons of the previous generations. They then make imprudent decisions that lead to an economic contraction. This occurs predictably, over the course of human events, about every 50 – 70 years.
That is exactly what is happening now. I am a Baby Boomer, and my generation, for the most part, has not been guided by the lessons of our parents. We rebelled against the morals and restrictions of our parents and created the climate for the current malaise. And younger generations have, for the most part, paid little attention to the lessons taught to them. So, several generations of
people have ignored the lessons that their parents and grandparents learned. Millions of people have made bad decisions, and, as a result, we are facing a significant financial contraction.
Nervousness and Living Far Beyond Your Means
The fundamental mistake is, of course, to live far beyond your means, and to focus on the acquisition of material things at the expense of the development of soundness of character and the pursuit of deeper values.
Material Things
How that plays out in our day-to-day lives is this: In the 2008 contraction, prompted by mortgage brokers and financial service companies who were motivated by selfishness and greed, hundreds of thousands of people bought homes and cars they couldn’t afford, and pursued a lifestyle funded by someone else (the mortgage lenders and credit card companies). Driven by greed and the pursuit of things,
millions of individuals found themselves over their heads in debt. Many companies, driven by the same motivations, did the same. The politicians and bureaucrats that make up the federal government, driven by greed and power, did the same thing by spending money they didn’t have.
As a result, the country is trillions of dollars in debt. Sooner or later, that debt has to be confronted. Some of that occurred in the real estate crash. The years of several generations of people spending more than they made, living a lifestyle beyond their means, finally came home to roost.
In my opinion, (and I’m not an economist) we are likely to see a significant economic contraction in the next few years. Don’t count on the government bailout to fix things. It may blunt the intensity for a while, but many people, whom I respect, indicate that it is way too little to make a significant difference. In the history of this country, government meddling in the economy has always
hindered growth and prolonged slumps. It was, in part, the government, attempting to meddle in the free market, that was partially responsible for the 2008 real estate crash. The government changing the fundamental principles upon which our society is based by nationalizing our financial system is not the answer.
The short-term politically expedient fix will eventually undermine the strength of the economy by taking money from those people who have been prudent and wise and giving it to those who have been greedy and selfish. The government will need to raise taxes, and every time the government takes more of our money, it leaves less money for investment and new job creation. Socialism, regardless of what
name you call it or how you package it, is not the long term answer to growth and prosperity.
What all this means to you is that we are likely to see two to ten years of very difficult economic times just over the horizon. There is something about adversity that sharpens us, that helps us to focus on the really important things in our lives, and that makes us better and stronger people, if we respond correctly. Many people will look back on this time, say ten years from now,
and reflect that it was, ultimately, good for them to have gone through it and learn the lessons only hardships can teach us.
I hope that will be true for you.
Now, assuming that you are a salesperson, here’s my advice to help you successfully navigate these turbulent times and come out the other side stronger and better.
As a salesperson …
Your basic strategy is to work at making yourself as productive and profitable as you possibly can.
Understand this. Unless you happen to be in one of those slices of the economy that is robust right now, your company is probably not growing in the way they would like, and in the way in which they have become accustomed. It may even be shrinking. That means that your company can probably not tolerate the luxury of unproductive employees. As they look over their group of employees,
they naturally will keep those who are most valuable and productive, and cut loose those who are least valuable and least productive.